Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 6.937742 8.111796 9.380364 10.847696 12.492749 14.274733 16.345448
2025-04-20 5.599849 7.141451 8.919275 11.102996 13.693905 16.650333 20.258355
2025-04-27 4.671375 6.418068 8.546175 11.292130 14.700805 18.751150 23.882193
2025-05-04 3.902364 5.741596 8.096763 11.270922 15.368162 20.406617 26.990788
2025-05-11 3.128065 4.929655 7.352906 10.759129 15.321604 21.114017 28.901779
2025-05-18 2.628338 4.411920 6.920191 10.579872 15.642164 22.247043 31.342930
2025-05-25 2.200967 3.932496 6.475692 10.321083 15.803712 23.140376 33.468640
2025-06-01 1.881700 3.568523 6.149562 10.183043 16.094438 24.186720 35.803359
2025-06-08 1.583437 3.193100 5.760737 9.907639 16.152162 24.891313 37.674331
2025-06-15 1.406432 2.994008 5.619833 9.981986 16.702590 26.282949 40.515740
2025-06-22 1.226586 2.763030 5.400987 9.910492 17.019142 27.339551 42.907727
2025-06-29 1.103119 2.616995 5.305547 10.020274 17.603915 28.790811 45.890612
2025-07-06 0.992015 2.480450 5.214963 10.132776 18.200706 30.287265 48.998781
2025-07-13 0.922298 2.416313 5.243978 10.441652 19.114165 32.278240 52.878137
2025-07-20 0.846202 2.327398 5.218074 10.651032 19.871974 34.053634 56.484411
2025-07-27 0.751746 2.183709 5.075072 10.643355 20.270352 35.287407 59.312724
2025-08-03 0.616973 1.924431 4.682345 10.159743 19.850862 35.234888 60.195753
2025-08-10 0.532448 1.767792 4.473836 9.990718 19.942769 35.972694 62.285271
2025-08-17 0.452192 1.605585 4.235156 9.744454 19.883468 36.459429 63.991099
2025-08-24 0.391703 1.482645 4.064842 9.613007 20.011704 37.243036 66.168819
2025-08-31 0.329699 1.341270 3.837307 9.350180 19.888701 37.606089 67.686367
2025-09-07 0.297158 1.278925 3.780179 9.421242 20.365802 38.965201 70.809011
2025-09-14 0.259957 1.193536 3.659705 9.353005 20.581591 39.891152 73.255755